Dampak kuota ekspor terhadap perdagangan internasional karet alam Indonesia
Impact of export quotas on Indonesian natural rubber trade
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.35891/agx.v13i2.2822Keywords:
Export quota, trade performance, welfare distributionAbstract
Introduction: This research aimed at analyzing :1) several factors that are influencing Indonesia’s and world’s natural rubber trade performance, 2)export quota impact on Indonesia's and world’s natural rubber trade performance, 3) export quota impact on Indonesia’s natural rubber economic agent’s welfare distribution. Methods: The model used in this study uses a systems approach and uses a simultaneous equation econometric model. Results: Result of Syslin procedure in this research indicate that: 1) Several factors influencing Indonesia’s natural rubber supply significantly are the harvested area, the domestik price of palm oil and Indonesia’s natural rubber export volume. On the other hand the domestic price of Indonesia’s natural rubber is not significantly influencing Indonesia’s natural rubber supply; 2) One factor that significantly influencing Indonesia’s natural rubber price is Indonesia’s natural rubber export volume, furthermore synthetic rubber price and exchange rate are not significantly influencing the domestic price of Indonesia’s natural rubber; 3) Several factors that significantly influencing world’s natural rubber export volume are natural rubber export volume of Indonesia, Thailand and Malaysia. World’s natural rubber export volume one year ago also significantly influencing world’s natural rubber export volume; 4) Several factors that significantly influencing world’s natural rubber import volume are natural rubber import volume of USA, Japan and Chinese; 5) Several factors that significantly influencing world’s natural rubber price are synthetic rubber price and world’s natural rubber price one year ago, on the other hand world’s natural rubber export volume is not significantly influencing world’s natural rubber price. Conclusion: As a result of the quota value on exports on the welfare distribution of Indonesian natural rubber economic actors if implemented in the 2013-2019 period, the producer surplus will decrease by US$ 630872.283 while the consumer surplus will increase by US$ 89130.882 and foreign exchange earnings will decrease by US$ 479441 (8.506 %).
References
(ANRPC) Association at natural rubber producing countries. (2015). Natural rubber trends & statistics. Kuala Lumpur (MLY): Association of Natural Rubber Producing Countries.
Badan Pusat Statistik (2017). Statistik Indonesia 2017. Jakarta, Indonesia: Katalog BPS: 11010011.
Badan Pusat Statistik (2017). Statistik Indonesia 2017. Jakarta: Katalog BPS: 11010011.
Badan Pusat Statistik. (2017). Statistik karet Indonesia 2017. Katalog BPS: 11010011.
Badan Pusat Statistik. (2018). Statistik karet Indonesia. Jakarta : Badan Pusat Statistik.
Bakte. D., Syahza A., & Hamlin. N. (2015). Strategi pengembangan industri hilir karet alam di provinsi Riau. In Prosiding Seminar Nasional dan Kongres ISEI XIX; 2015 Oktober 7-9; Surabaya, Indonesia.
Claudia , G., Yulianto, E., & Maardi, M. K. (2016). Pengaruh produksi karet alam domestik, harga karet alam internasional, dan nilai tukar terhadap volume ekspor karet alam (studi pada komoditi karet alam indonesia tahun 2010-2013. Jurnal Administrasi Bisnis (JAB), 35(1), 1-10.
Daulika, P., Peng, K.-C., & Hanani, N. (2020). Analysis on export competitiveness and factors affecting natural rubber export price in Indonesia. Agricultural Socio-Economics Journal, 20(1), 39-44.
Dwiastuti, R. (2014). Daya saing karet alam Indonesia di pasar dunia. HABITAT, XXV(3), 143-150.
Gujarati, D. N., & Porter, D. C. (2009). Basic econometrics (5th ed.). McGraw-Hill Irwin.
Hanoum. (2016). Analisis kinerja ekspor elektronika Indonesia ke Amerika Latin. Bogor: Institut Pertanian Bogor.
Harahap, N. H. P., & Segoro, B. A. (2018). Analisis daya saing komoditas karet alam Indonesia ke pasar global. Jurnal Transborder, 1(2), 130-143.
Hendratno, E. H., & Novianti, T. (2008). Analisis penawaran ekspor karet alam Indonesia ke negara Cina. Jurnal Manajemen Agribisnis, 5(1), 40-51.
Hendratno, S. (2015). Analysis of crumb rubber SIR market developments. Warta Perkaretan, 34(2), 161-176.
Kamaludin, R. (2018). Competitiveness and export sustainability of Indonesian natural rubber. Sriwijaya International Journal of Dynamic Economics and Business, 2(1), 85-98.
Kanaya, I. A., & Firdaus, M. (2014). Daya Saing dan Permintaan Ekspor Produk Biofarmaka Indonesia di Negara Tujuan Utama Periode 2003-2012. Jurnal Manajemen & Agribisnis, 11(3), 183-198.
Koutsoyiannis, A. (1983). Modern microeconomics. second edition. English Language Book Society, Mac. Milan.
Lindung, L., & Jamil, A. S. (2018). Posisi daya saing dan tingkat konsentrasi pasar ekspor karet alam indonesia di pasar global. Jurnal AGRISEP: Kajian Masalah Sosial Ekonomi Pertanian Dan Agribisnis, 17(2), 119-128.
Octaviani, A. (2018). Effect pf asean and non asean economic integration on Indonesian rubber commodity export: trade creation or trade diversion. Economics Development Analysis Journal, 7(1), 14-22.
Pindyck, Robert, S., & Rubinfield, D. L. (1991). Econometric models and economic forecast. USA: MCGraw Hill.
Pujianti, R., & Antara , M. (2016). Analisis produksi karet rakyat di desa Pontangoa Kecamatan Lembo Raya Kabupaten Morowali Utara. J Agrotekbis, 4(4), 485-490.
Puspita, R. (2015). Pengaruh produksi kakao domestik, harga kakao internasional dan nilai tukar terhadap ekspor kakao Indonesia ke Amerika Serikat. Jurnal Administrasi Bisnis (JAB), 27(1), 1-8.
Rachman, A. N., Darsono, & Antriyandarti, E. (2020). Analysis of Indonesian natural rubber export: generalized least square approach. International Journal of Advanced Science and Technology, 29(03), 12406-12413.
Salvatore, D. (1997). Ekonomi Internasional (Terjemahan). Jakarta: Erlangga.
Setyawati, I. K., Lin, Y. S., & Setiawan, B. (2014). Analisis permintaan ekspor karet alam Indonesia ke Amerika Serikat. Agricultural Socio-Economics Journal, 14(2), 1412-1425.
Soleh, A. (2015). Analisis ekspor dan produksi karet di Indonesia. Ekombis Review.
Sutardi. (1973). Metode ekonomi untuk menilai potensi profitabilitas tanaman perkebunan Perenial. Salatiga: Rubber Research Centre Getas.
UN Comtrade. (2020). UN comtrade database. United Nations.
Widarjono, A. (2013). Ekonometrika pengantar dan aplikasinya disertai panduan eviews. Yogyakarta: UPP STIM YKPN.
Wiranata, M. (2006). Metodologi penelitian sosial. Yogyakarta : Andi Offset.
Wooldridge, J. (2013). Introductory econometrics. in introductory econometrics (5th ed). South-Western: Cengage Learning.
Downloads
Published
Issue
Section
License
Copyright Notice
The author sends the manuscript with the understanding that if accepted for publication, the copyright of the article belongs to the author and retains publishing rights without restriction.
Copyright includes the non-exclusive right to reproduce and submit articles in all forms and media, including reprints, photographs, microfilm, and other similar reproductions, as well as translations. Reproduction of any part of this journal, its storage in the database and its transmission by all forms of media, such as electronic, electrostatic and mechanical copies, photocopying, recording, magnetic media, etc.
The journal editorial board makes every effort to ensure that no false or misleading data, opinions, or statements are published in the journal. Either way, the contents of articles and advertisements published in journals are the sole and exclusive responsibility of each writer and advertiser.
All articles published Open Access will be immediately and permanently free for everyone to read and download. We are continuously working with our author communities to select the best choice of license options, currently being defined for this journal as follows: Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0)
Download Template
